Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.835775 2.197945 2.604810 3.094555 3.666820 4.313060 5.096786
2026-01-25 1.253831 1.692608 2.239875 2.967866 3.905492 5.066543 6.606417
2026-02-01 0.908801 1.357585 1.968368 2.850258 4.078769 5.715222 8.042590
2026-02-08 0.714492 1.164299 1.823625 2.843320 4.358876 6.501417 9.724785
2026-02-15 0.580238 1.021983 1.713505 2.849307 4.634696 7.290352 11.480431
2026-02-22 0.472226 0.894118 1.595865 2.813489 4.826731 7.960463 13.117736
2026-03-01 0.371587 0.755135 1.431783 2.669402 4.816435 8.304504 14.275600
2026-03-08 0.309142 0.670326 1.342582 2.631981 4.966881 8.906568 15.888408
2026-03-15 0.261886 0.603893 1.273391 2.615728 5.144934 9.563536 17.645547
2026-03-22 0.241811 0.588114 1.296087 2.770313 5.643005 10.810709 20.516139
2026-03-29 0.216868 0.556477 1.281538 2.849110 6.006576 11.851661 23.115739
2026-04-05 0.198574 0.535850 1.285705 2.964343 6.450321 13.075195 26.145447
2026-04-12 0.172778 0.492806 1.236546 2.965670 6.676688 13.930615 28.605315
2026-04-19 0.143660 0.434791 1.143997 2.859944 6.671900 14.344754 30.275433
2026-04-26 0.119307 0.383127 1.056533 2.751118 6.644655 14.708036 31.875184
2026-05-03 0.104330 0.353521 1.016907 2.745921 6.839235 15.532114 34.452388
2026-05-10 0.092012 0.328528 0.984321 2.752197 7.058873 16.425936 37.243778
2026-05-17 0.079723 0.300392 0.938232 2.717639 7.179275 17.118917 39.675429
2026-05-24 0.065472 0.261900 0.856338 2.578086 7.032872 17.218359 40.859160
2026-05-31 0.056783 0.239640 0.816052 2.541847 7.131859 17.867157 43.276671
2026-06-07 0.049881 0.221719 0.785082 2.526105 7.279508 18.637971 46.023170
2026-06-14 0.048087 0.222433 0.811401 2.675872 7.868062 20.476900 51.300504
2026-06-21 0.044570 0.215485 0.812299 2.752222 8.272801 21.917129 55.777943